{"id":9751,"date":"2025-04-05T17:22:31","date_gmt":"2025-04-05T10:52:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nug.sjmyanmar.com\/?p=9751"},"modified":"2025-04-05T17:22:31","modified_gmt":"2025-04-05T10:52:31","slug":"aftershocks-occurring-until-april-11-as-follows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nug.sjmyanmar.com\/mm\/aftershocks-occurring-until-april-11-as-follows\/","title":{"rendered":"As of April 4, 2025, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) estimates the probability of aftershocks occurring until April 11, as follows:"},"content":{"rendered":"<div dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"html-span xexx8yu x4uap5 x18d9i69 xkhd6sd x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs x3nfvp2 x1j61x8r x1fcty0u xdj266r xat24cr xgzva0m xhhsvwb xxymvpz xlup9mm x1kky2od\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"xz74otr x168nmei x13lgxp2 x5pf9jr xo71vjh\" src=\"https:\/\/static.xx.fbcdn.net\/images\/emoji.php\/v9\/tbd\/1\/16\/1f4a2.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\udca2\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" \/><\/span> \u1042\u1040\u1042\u1045 \u1001\u102f\u1014\u103e\u1005\u103a\u104a \u1019\u1010\u103a\u101c \u1042\u1048 \u101b\u1000\u103a\u1014\u1031\u1037\u104a \u1014\u1031\u1037\u101c\u101a\u103a \u1041\u1042:\u1045\u1040 \u1021\u1001\u103b\u102d\u1014\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1004\u103a \u1019\u103c\u1014\u103a\u1019\u102c\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1004\u1036\u104f \u1012\u102f\u1010\u102d\u101a\u1021\u1000\u103c\u102e\u1038\u1006\u102f\u1036\u1038 \u1019\u103c\u102d\u102f\u1037\u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u101e\u1031\u102c \u1019\u1014\u1039\u1010\u101c\u1031\u1038\u1019\u103c\u102d\u102f\u1037\u1021\u1014\u102e\u1038\u104c \u101b\u1005\u103a\u1001\u103b\u103a\u1010\u102c\u1005\u1000\u1031\u1038 \u1047.\u1047 \u1021\u1004\u103a\u1021\u102c\u1038\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u1031\u102c \u1019\u103c\u1031\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1000\u103c\u102e\u1038\u1010\u1005\u103a\u1001\u102f \u101c\u103e\u102f\u1015\u103a\u1001\u1010\u103a\u1001\u1032\u1037\u101e\u100a\u103a\u104b \u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1017\u101f\u102d\u102f\u1001\u103b\u1000\u103a\u101e\u100a\u103a \u1019\u103c\u1031\u1019\u103b\u1000\u103a\u1014\u103e\u102c\u1015\u103c\u1004\u103a\u1021\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a \u1041\u1040 \u1000\u102e\u101c\u102d\u102f\u1019\u102e\u1010\u102c\u1001\u1014\u103a\u1037\u1010\u103d\u1004\u103a \u101c\u103e\u102f\u1015\u103a\u1001\u1010\u103a\u1001\u1032\u1037\u1001\u103c\u1004\u103a\u1038\u1000\u103c\u1031\u102c\u1004\u103a\u1037 \u1011\u102d\u1001\u102d\u102f\u1000\u103a\u1019\u103e\u102f\u1000\u103c\u102e\u1038\u1019\u102c\u1038\u1015\u103c\u102e\u1038 \u101c\u1030\u101e\u1031\u1006\u102f\u1036\u1038\u1019\u103e\u102f\u1014\u103e\u1004\u103a\u1037 \u1012\u100f\u103a\u101b\u102c\u101b\u101b\u103e\u102d\u1019\u103e\u102f\u1019\u103b\u102c\u1038\u101c\u100a\u103a\u1038 \u1019\u103b\u102c\u1038\u1015\u103c\u102c\u1038\u1001\u1032\u1037\u101e\u100a\u103a\u104b \u1005\u1005\u103a\u1000\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1038\u1015\u103c\u1010\u103a\u101b\u103d\u1031\u1037\u1021\u1014\u102e\u1038\u1010\u103d\u1004\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u101e\u100a\u103a\u1037 \u1021\u1006\u102d\u102f\u1015\u102b \u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1000\u103c\u102e\u1038\u1000\u103c\u1031\u102c\u1004\u103a\u1037 \u1005\u1005\u103a\u1000\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1038\u1015\u103c\u1010\u103a\u101b\u103d\u1031\u1037\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1004\u103a \u1019\u103c\u1031\u101c\u103d\u103e\u102c \u101b\u103d\u1031\u1037\u101c\u103b\u102c\u1038\u1019\u103e\u102f\u101e\u100a\u103a \u1021\u101c\u103b\u102c\u1038 \u1044\u1046\u1040 \u1000\u102e\u101c\u102d\u102f\u1019\u102e\u1010\u102c\u1014\u103e\u1004\u103a\u1037 \u1021\u1000\u103b\u101a\u103a \u1041\u1045 \u1000\u102e\u101c\u102d\u102f\u1019\u102e\u1010\u102c\u1001\u1014\u103a\u1037\u101b\u103e\u102d\u1001\u1032\u1037\u1000\u103c\u1031\u102c\u1004\u103a\u1038 \u1001\u1014\u103a\u1037\u1019\u103e\u1014\u103a\u1038\u1011\u102c\u1038\u1000\u103c\u1015\u102b\u101e\u100a\u103a\u104b \u1042\u1040\u1042\u1045 \u1001\u102f\u1014\u103e\u1005\u103a\u104a \u1027\u1015\u103c\u102e\u101c \u1044 \u101b\u1000\u103a\u1014\u1031\u1037\u104a \u1021\u1019\u1031\u101b\u102d\u1000\u1014\u103a\u1018\u1030\u1019\u102d\u1006\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u101b\u102c \u101e\u102f\u1010\u1031\u101e\u1014\u1021\u1016\u103d\u1032\u1037 (USGS)\u104f \u1001\u1014\u103a\u1037\u1019\u103e\u1014\u103a\u1038\u1001\u103b\u1000\u103a\u1019\u103b\u102c\u1038\u1021\u101b \u101c\u102c\u1019\u100a\u103a\u1037 \u1027\u1015\u103c\u102e \u1041\u1041 \u101b\u1000\u103a\u1014\u1031\u1037\u1021\u1011\u102d \u1014\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1006\u1000\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1032 \u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1004\u101a\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031\u1019\u103e\u102c \u1021\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1015\u102b\u1021\u1010\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1038\u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u102b\u101e\u100a\u103a\u104b<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">\u00a0<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"xz74otr x168nmei x13lgxp2 x5pf9jr xo71vjh\" style=\"font-weight: inherit;\" src=\"https:\/\/static.xx.fbcdn.net\/images\/emoji.php\/v9\/t72\/1\/16\/1f538.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\udd38\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" \/><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u1021\u1004\u103a\u1021\u102c\u1038 \u1043 \u1014\u103e\u1004\u1037\u103a \u1021\u1011\u1000\u103a\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u100a\u103a\u1037 \u1014\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1006\u1000\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1032\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1004\u101a\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031 \u1049\u1049% (\u1021\u1000\u103c\u102d\u1019\u103a \u1042\u1040 \u1019\u103e \u1042\u1042\u1040 \u1000\u103c\u102c\u1038\u1011\u102d\u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a)<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"html-span xexx8yu x4uap5 x18d9i69 xkhd6sd x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs x3nfvp2 x1j61x8r x1fcty0u xdj266r xat24cr xgzva0m xhhsvwb xxymvpz xlup9mm x1kky2od\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"xz74otr x168nmei x13lgxp2 x5pf9jr xo71vjh\" src=\"https:\/\/static.xx.fbcdn.net\/images\/emoji.php\/v9\/t72\/1\/16\/1f538.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\udd38\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" \/><\/span> \u1021\u1004\u103a\u1021\u102c\u1038 \u1044 \u1014\u103e\u1004\u1037\u103a \u1021\u1011\u1000\u103a\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u100a\u103a\u1037 \u1014\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1006\u1000\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1032\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1004\u101a\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031 \u1049\u1049% ( \u1042 \u1000\u103c\u102d\u1019\u103a\u1019\u103e \u1042\u1042 \u1000\u103c\u102d\u1019\u103a\u1011\u102d \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a)<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"html-span xexx8yu x4uap5 x18d9i69 xkhd6sd x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs x3nfvp2 x1j61x8r x1fcty0u xdj266r xat24cr xgzva0m xhhsvwb xxymvpz xlup9mm x1kky2od\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"xz74otr x168nmei x13lgxp2 x5pf9jr xo71vjh\" src=\"https:\/\/static.xx.fbcdn.net\/images\/emoji.php\/v9\/t72\/1\/16\/1f538.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\udd38\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" \/><\/span> \u1021\u1004\u103a\u1021\u102c\u1038 \u1045 \u1014\u103e\u1004\u1037\u103a \u1021\u1011\u1000\u103a\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u100a\u103a\u1037 \u1014\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1006\u1000\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1032\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1004\u101a\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031 \u1045\u1044% ( \u1040 \u1019\u103e \u1044 \u1000\u103c\u102d\u1019\u103a\u1021\u1011\u102d \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a)<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"html-span xexx8yu x4uap5 x18d9i69 xkhd6sd x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs x3nfvp2 x1j61x8r x1fcty0u xdj266r xat24cr xgzva0m xhhsvwb xxymvpz xlup9mm x1kky2od\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"xz74otr x168nmei x13lgxp2 x5pf9jr xo71vjh\" src=\"https:\/\/static.xx.fbcdn.net\/images\/emoji.php\/v9\/t72\/1\/16\/1f538.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\udd38\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" \/><\/span>\u1021\u1004\u103a\u1021\u102c\u1038 \u1046 \u1014\u103e\u1004\u1037\u103a \u1021\u1011\u1000\u103a<span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u100a\u103a\u1037 \u1014\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1006\u1000\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1032\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1004\u101a\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031 \u1048% ( \u1040 \u1019\u103e \u1041 \u1000\u103c\u102d\u1019\u103a\u1021\u1011\u102d \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a)<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"html-span xexx8yu x4uap5 x18d9i69 xkhd6sd x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs x3nfvp2 x1j61x8r x1fcty0u xdj266r xat24cr xgzva0m xhhsvwb xxymvpz xlup9mm x1kky2od\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"xz74otr x168nmei x13lgxp2 x5pf9jr xo71vjh\" src=\"https:\/\/static.xx.fbcdn.net\/images\/emoji.php\/v9\/t72\/1\/16\/1f538.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\udd38\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" \/><\/span>\u1021\u1004\u103a\u1021\u102c\u1038 \u1047 \u1014\u103e\u1004\u1037\u103a \u1021\u1011\u1000\u103a\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u100a\u103a\u1037 \u1014\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1006\u1000\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1032\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1004\u101a\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1015\u1031\u102b\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031 \u1040.\u1047% &#8211; \u1041% \u1021\u101c\u102c\u1038\u1021\u101c\u102c\u101b\u103e\u102d\u1015\u102b\u101e\u100a\u103a\u104b \u101a\u1004\u103a\u1038\u1000\u1032\u1037\u101e\u102d\u102f\u1037 \u1014\u1031\u102c\u1000\u103a\u1006\u1000\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1032\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u1031\u102c\u103a\u101c\u100a\u103a\u1038 \u1021\u101c\u102c\u1038\u1021\u101c\u102c \u1021\u101c\u103d\u1014\u103a\u1014\u100a\u103a\u1038\u1015\u102b\u101e\u100a\u103a\u104b<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"html-span xexx8yu x4uap5 x18d9i69 xkhd6sd x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs x3nfvp2 x1j61x8r x1fcty0u xdj266r xat24cr xgzva0m xhhsvwb xxymvpz xlup9mm x1kky2od\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"xz74otr x168nmei x13lgxp2 x5pf9jr xo71vjh\" src=\"https:\/\/static.xx.fbcdn.net\/images\/emoji.php\/v9\/t72\/1\/16\/1f538.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\udd38\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" \/><\/span>\u1021\u1006\u102d\u102f\u1015\u102b \u1021\u1004\u103a\u1021\u102c\u1038 \u1047.\u1047 \u1014\u103e\u1004\u1037\u103a \u1021\u1011\u1000\u103a\u101b\u103e\u102d\u101e\u1031\u102c \u1019\u103c\u1031\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a\u1000\u103c\u102e\u1038\u1000\u102d\u102f \u101b\u103e\u1031\u1037\u1015\u103c\u1031\u1038\u1004\u101c\u103b\u1004\u103a (foreshock) \u1021\u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a \u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1001\u103c\u1031\u1019\u103e\u102c \u1041\/\u1047\u1040\u1040 (\u1040.\u1042%) \u101b\u103e\u102d\u1000\u103c\u1031\u102c\u1004\u103a\u1038\u1001\u1014\u103a\u1037\u1019\u103e\u1014\u103a\u1038\u1011\u102c\u1038\u1015\u102b\u101e\u100a\u103a\u104b<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">On March 28, 2025, at 12:50 PM, a magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck near Mandalay, Myanmar&#8217;s second largest city. The epicenter was about 10 kilometers below the surface, causing extensive damage and causing many deaths and injuries. The earthquake, which occurred near the Sagaing Fault, is estimated to have caused a 460-kilometer-long and 15-kilometer-wide movement along the Sagaing Fault. On April 4, 2025, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) predicted the following aftershocks through April 11:<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Aftershocks of magnitude 3 and above are 99% likely (20 to 220 times possible)<br \/>\nAftershocks of magnitude 4 and above are 99% likely (2 to 22 times possible)<br \/>\nAftershocks of magnitude 5 and above are 54% likely (0 to 4 times possible)<br \/>\nAftershocks of magnitude 6 and above are 8% likely (0 to 1 time possible)<br \/>\nAftershocks of magnitude 7 and above are 0.7% &#8211; 1%. Such aftershocks are possible, but the probability is very low.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-9752\" src=\"https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488686349_972293778425755_8642387926117627078_n-300x207.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"483\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488686349_972293778425755_8642387926117627078_n-300x207.jpg 300w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488686349_972293778425755_8642387926117627078_n-1024x707.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488686349_972293778425755_8642387926117627078_n-768x530.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488686349_972293778425755_8642387926117627078_n-1536x1061.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488686349_972293778425755_8642387926117627078_n-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488686349_972293778425755_8642387926117627078_n.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 483px) 100vw, 483px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-9753\" src=\"https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488569824_972293728425760_2951815521653095512_n-300x207.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"480\" height=\"331\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488569824_972293728425760_2951815521653095512_n-300x207.jpg 300w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488569824_972293728425760_2951815521653095512_n-1024x707.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488569824_972293728425760_2951815521653095512_n-768x530.jpg 768w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488569824_972293728425760_2951815521653095512_n-1536x1061.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488569824_972293728425760_2951815521653095512_n-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/assets-gov.nugmyanmar.org\/images\/2025\/04\/488569824_972293728425760_2951815521653095512_n.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" \/><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u1042\u1040\u1042\u1045 \u1001\u102f\u1014\u103e\u1005\u103a\u104a \u1019\u1010\u103a\u101c \u1042\u1048 \u101b\u1000\u103a\u1014\u1031\u1037\u104a \u1014\u1031\u1037\u101c\u101a\u103a \u1041\u1042:\u1045\u1040 \u1021\u1001\u103b\u102d\u1014\u103a\u1010\u103d\u1004\u103a \u1019\u103c\u1014\u103a\u1019\u102c\u1014\u102d\u102f\u1004\u103a\u1004\u1036\u104f \u1012\u102f\u1010\u102d\u101a\u1021\u1000\u103c\u102e\u1038\u1006\u102f\u1036\u1038 \u1019\u103c\u102d\u102f\u1037\u1016\u103c\u1005\u103a\u101e\u1031\u102c \u1019\u1014\u1039\u1010\u101c\u1031\u1038\u1019\u103c\u102d\u102f\u1037\u1021\u1014\u102e\u1038\u104c 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